CBI flags economic downturn in 2008

The Confederation of British Industries (CBI) has sounded a downbeat note on the economy for 2008, predicting a GDP rate of 2%, down 0.2% from September.

High energy and petrol costs, and continued rocky times in the financial markets will put a dent in consumer spending and slow investment growth to 1.8%, down from 2007's 5.7%, claimed CBI.

The body said the opportunities for 2008 look likely to be overseas, with emerging economies outpacing those more advanced, and a weakening pound helping the export market.

However, inflation is set to peak at around 2.6% and won't hit the target 2.0% until the end of 2009.

The CBI predicted the Bank of England would be prepared to make interest rate cuts in order to ensure this, above and beyond the 0.25% already announced.

CBI chief economic adviser said this is not the preamble to a recession.

"While the 2008 slowdown may appear dramatic set against this year's strong growth, the fundamentals of our economy remain sound," he said.